Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.024196 0.029263 0.034587 0.040556 0.047019 0.053769 0.061318
2026-01-11 0.016716 0.023751 0.031697 0.041132 0.051847 0.063486 0.076944
2026-01-18 0.011902 0.019853 0.029458 0.041416 0.055498 0.071223 0.089818
2026-01-25 0.008576 0.016922 0.027686 0.041660 0.058611 0.077953 0.101207
2026-02-01 0.005969 0.014298 0.025815 0.041383 0.060781 0.083331 0.110825
2026-02-08 0.003452 0.011068 0.022644 0.039075 0.060176 0.085205 0.116170
2026-02-15 0.002091 0.009201 0.021034 0.038534 0.061550 0.089270 0.123934
2026-02-22 0.001302 0.008054 0.020284 0.039000 0.064086 0.094651 0.133182
2026-03-01 0.000761 0.007126 0.019719 0.039617 0.066738 0.100120 0.142490
2026-03-08 0.000462 0.006616 0.019746 0.041012 0.070362 0.106752 0.153170
2026-03-15 0.000206 0.005917 0.019340 0.041718 0.073034 0.112179 0.162378
2026-03-22 0.000175 0.006196 0.020686 0.045001 0.079136 0.121879 0.176756
2026-03-29 0.000002 0.004762 0.018774 0.043474 0.078939 0.123912 0.182127
2026-04-05 NaN 0.004197 0.018433 0.044297 0.081921 0.129973 0.192460
2026-04-12 NaN 0.003562 0.017818 0.044630 0.084200 0.135127 0.201677
2026-04-19 NaN 0.002986 0.017198 0.044891 0.086338 0.140074 0.210621
2026-04-26 NaN 0.002363 0.016293 0.044604 0.087659 0.143940 0.218203
2026-05-03 NaN 0.001446 0.014226 0.042203 0.085876 0.143713 0.220638
2026-05-10 NaN 0.001011 0.013293 0.041640 0.086657 0.146774 0.227132
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000791 0.012974 0.042126 0.088939 0.151786 0.236057
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000622 0.012757 0.042768 0.091435 0.157071 0.245321
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000559 0.012980 0.044218 0.095124 0.163934 0.256572
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000436 0.012830 0.044952 0.097740 0.169370 0.266025